The Interactions Between the USD to VND Rate and Stock Index in Vietnam: An Application of VECM Model
Nguyen Thi Nhung
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15439/2021KM72
Citation: Proceedings of the 2021 International Conference on Research in Management & Technovation, Vu Dinh Khoa, Shivani Agarwal, Gloria Jeanette Rincon Aponte, Nguyen Thi Hong Nga, Vijender Kumar Solanki, Ewa Ziemba (eds). ACSIS, Vol. 28, pages 249–252 (2021)
Abstract. Ths working paper examined the USD to VND exchange rate and VN-Index interactions with VECM model using daily data from November 2012 to June 2021. To be precise, the research compares impacts of the USD to VND exchange rate on VN-Index in two distinct sub-periods, including the first one from November 2012 to December 2015 and the second one from January 2016 to June 2012 because of the introduction of the decision 2730/QĐ-NHNN about the daily average inter-bank exchange rate between VND and foreign currencies in 2016. The results of VECM show that there are stable long-term and short-run relationships between the USD to VND exchange rate and VN-Index. These interactions are stricter in the first sub-period or before the introduction of decision 2730/QĐ-NHNN, leading to some important implications which are signficiant for portfolio managers' making-decision about the portfolio diversification and risk management
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