Communication Papers of the 19th Conference on Computer Science and Intelligence Systems (FedCSIS)

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.15439/2024F5990

Citation: Communication Papers of the 19th Conference on Computer Science and Intelligence Systems (FedCSIS), M. Bolanowski, M. Ganzha, L. Maciaszek, M. Paprzycki, D. Ślęzak (eds). ACSIS, Vol. 41, pages 77–82 (2024)

Full text

Abstract. Accurate local weather forecasting is vital for farmers to optimize crop yields and manage resources effectively, but existing forecasts often lack the precision required locally. This study explores the potential of combining data from local weather stations with global forecasts and reanalysis data to improve the accuracy of local weather predictions. We propose integrating the HadISD data set, which contains data from 27 stations in the Czech Republic, with the Global Forecast System predictions and ERA5-Land reanalysis data. Our goal is to improve 24-hour weather forecasts using Multilayer Perceptrons, CatBoost, and Long Short-Term Memory neural networks. The findings demonstrate that combining local weather station data with global forecasts and incorporating ERA5-Land reanalysis data improves the accuracy of weather predictions in specific locations. Notably, using deep learning to estimate ERA5-Land data and including this estimation in the final model reduced the forecasting error by 59\%. This advancement holds promise in optimizing agricultural practices and mitigating weather-related risks in the region.

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